Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Weather Outlook: Wednesday - Friday

Wednesday & Thursday

The cold front will continue to make its way across Northeast and Central Florida while dissipating late Wednesday or early Thursday. High pressure will creep back into Florida and produce stable conditions across the state.

However, moist easterly flow across the eastern coast will cause a weak sea breeze effect and light showers may pop-up along the East-Central and Southeast Florida coast throughout the Wednesday and Thursday, lasting into the nighttime hours. Shower activity will be generally scarce and rain chances are only around 10-20% across Central and South Florida.

Daytime maximum temperatures will reach the mid to upper 60s across the western Panhandle, low 70s across the Florida Big Bend, upper 70s across Northeast Florida, and low 80s across Central and South Florida. Overnight minimum temperatures will fall to the low 40s across the western panhandle and Florida Big Bend, mid 50s across Northeast Florida, low 60s across Central Florida, and upper 60s to low 70s across South Florida.


High pressure will continue across the state producing partly cloudy skies and keeping rain chances less than 20% statewide. A non-tropical low pressure system will develop in the Western Caribbean and begin to move east-northeast with an accompanying cold front towards the panhandle throughout the day. Isolated to scattered showers will begin to impact the Panhandle and Florida Big Bend Friday night. Thick cloud cover will move into Northwestern Florida quickly after sunset. Widespread severe weather is not immediately anticipated Friday
Rip Currents

At the coast, hazardous rip current conditions are still present along the Atlantic Florida Coastline due to residual offshore swells up to 5ft, high astronomical tides in association with the new moon phase, and onshore wind flow. A high risk still remains for all beaches across the east coast, and the threat is expected to stay elevated with moderate to high risks through Friday. Moderate risks currently exist for the western panhandle and Bay County but the threat is expected to decrease as wave heights lessen and the passing cold front turns winds to the north. Daily surf zone and rip current forecasts for all Florida beaches.


The tropics are currently very quiet. There are no active tropical systems and development is not expected within the next 48 hours. Only 2 weeks remain in the 2009 Hurricane Season. From a climatology standpoint of the last 100 years, only about 8 tropical systems have formed during the last 2 weeks of November. Regardless, cyclonic development is still possible and the Atlantic Basin will continue to be monitored closely until December. Tropical Outlook from the National Hurricane Center.

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